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Champions League: Supercomputer Predicts Final League Phase Table

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Moving up the table, Opta have positioned Slavia Prague, Athletic Club and PSV as teams that will miss out on progressing, with the latter of those two sides being ones that many would expect to at least reach the play-off stage, or be competing for it.

 

Copenhagen are next in the table, just one place below Bodo/Glimt. The Norwegian side are another team playing in what is their first-ever Champions League campaign, though Opta feel that the fairytale will not continue beyond the competition’s current stage.

 

Cypriot side Pafos are next in the table, one place below Benfica who, despite the return of Jose Mourinho as manager, are not predicted to reach even the play-off round. Rounding out the bottom third of the table are Greek giants Olympiacos, Ligue 1 side Monaco, who snatched a late equaliser against Manchester City in their second game of the Champions League and Bayer Leverkusen, winners of a domestic double in the 2023/24 season.

 

Predicted Champions League Table – 36th to 25th

 

Position

 

Team

 

Expected Points

 

25th

 

Bayer Leverkusen

 

9.21

 

26th

 

Monaco

 

8.85

 

27th

 

Olympiacos

 

8.61

 

28th

 

Benfica

 

8.04

 

29th

 

Pafos

 

7.82

 

30th

 

Bodo/Glimt

 

7.24

 

31st

 

Copenhagen

 

6.99

 

32nd

 

PSV

 

6.86

 

33rd

 

Athletic Club

 

6.57

 

34th

 

Slavia Prague

 

6.29

 

35th

 

Ajax

 

5.90

 

36th

 

Kairat

 

3.11

 

Play-Off Teams – 24th to 9th

 

 

Moving into teams that will qualify for the play-off games that follow the league, the next stage of the table, Opta have predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt will finish just one place ahead of fellow Bundesliga side Leverkusen to clinch the lowest berth for the following stage.

 

Opta also believe that Villarreal and Marseille, recognisable clubs from Spain and France respectively, will do enough to get into the play-offs, as will Belgian side Union Saint-Gilloise, who have enjoyed a remarkable upturn in recent years.

 

Just ahead of USG are their Belgian compatriots Club Brugge, who themselves are directly behind Sporting Lisbon in 19th. Galatasaray, who recorded a sensational 1-0 win over Liverpool, are also predicted to do enough to reach at least the play-off stage, with Azerbaijani side Qarabag, the first club from their country to advance beyond the Champions League qualifiers, slated to take up the highest-ranked unseeded spot.

 

Any side that finish between 16th and ninth in the table qualify for the play-offs as a seeded team, which ensures that they will play the second leg at home. Turin juggernauts Juventus are, according to Opta, projected to finish 16th, with almost a whole point of difference predicted between them and Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid, who Opta think will place one spot higher than Juve.

 

In 14th are Atalanta. Though the Bergamo side, who won the 2024 Europa League, have become a constant in continental football, they are without the management of Gian Piero Gasperini. Just ahead of them, in 13th, are Newcastle United, who are making their second Champions League appearance within three years.

 

The following four positions are all within a point of each other. The expected points total of 12th-placed Napoli, who recruited a number of players, including Kevin De Bruyne, across the summer, is 13.13, 0.12 behind Thomas Frank’s Tottenham Hotspur and 0.21 behind Borussia Dortmund.

 

Comparatively, there is some breathing room between Dortmund and Chelsea, who Opta feel will just miss out on automatically progressing to the next round with a tally of 13.87. The Blues, no doubt, will hope that Enzo Maresca can lead them deep into their first Champions League campaign for a few seasons.

 

Predicted Champions League Table – 36th to 25th

 

Position

 

Team

 

Expected Points

 

9th

 

Chelsea

 

13.87

 

10th

 

Borussia Dortmund

 

13.34

 

11th

 

Tottenham Hotspur

 

13.25

 

12th

 

Napoli

 

13.13

 

13th

 

Newcastle United

 

12.93

 

14th

 

Atalanta

 

12.47

 

15th

 

Atletico Madrid

 

11.80

 

16th

 

Juventus

 

11.02

 

17th

 

Qarabag

 

11.01

 

18th

 

Galatasaray

 

10.76

 

19th

 

Sporting Lisbon

 

10.58

 

20th

 

Club Brugge

 

10.51

 

21st

 

Union Saint-Gilloise

 

10.30

 

22nd

 

Olympique Marseille

 

9.66

 

23rd

 

Villarreal

 

9.56

 

24th

 

Eintracht Frankfurt

 

9.45

 

Automatic Qualifiers – 8th to 1st

 

 

In eighth place on Opta’s predicted table, a position that would ensure an automatic pass to the round of 16, is Barcelona, who have looked like a team reborn since ex-Bayern Munich manager Hansi Flick arrived at the club in 2024.

 

Ahead of the Catalan club in seventh are Inter Milan, who have been on the losing end of two Champions League finals in the past three years and will no doubt push to finally lift the trophy once again. Liverpool, who are the defending Premier League champions, have been slated to finish sixth, the Reds having topped the league table last season in the competition.

 

Manchester City are projected to place fifth in the table, narrowly behind Real Madrid, who are now under the management of former Leverkusen boss Xabi Alonso. Moving into the top three, Bayern Munich, who are benefitting greatly from a lightning start to the season by Harry Kane, are touted to place third.

 

Although they are defending the honour of winning the Champions League, Paris Saint-Germain have been predicted to finish second, with Opta believing that Arsenal will top the Champions League table with over a point between themselves and PSG.

 

Predicted Champions League Table – 36th to 25th

 

Position

 

Team

 

Expected Points

 

1st

 

Arsenal

 

18.51

 

2nd

 

Paris Saint-Germain

 

17.39

 

3rd

 

Bayern Munich

 

16.07

 

4th

 

Real Madrid

 

15.59

 

5th

 

Manchester City

 

15.57

 

6th

 

Liverpool

 

15.39

 

7th

 

Inter Milan

 

15.16

 

8th

Barcelona

 

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