Following the opening six gameweeks, the Supercomputer has updated its prediction for the final 2025-26 Premier League table. Last term, everyone had expected Manchester City to rule the roost again, but it was Liverpool – under new manager Arne Slot – who would end up winning their 20th English league crown at a canter, reclaiming their perch as the country’s most successful club.
There were no bonus points handed to those who guessed that Arsenal would finish second – having now achieved that feat three successive seasons on the spin now – while Pep Guardiola’s side’s end-of-season form saw them just about claim third. Other narratives drawn up were that of Nottingham Forest’s surprise run to European qualification, while Tottenham and Manchester United slipped to their worst-ever league campaigns since the 1992 rebranding.
All of the above is still fresh in the memory, but football never sleeps, and predictions for the new season have already been drawn up. The forecasts below are compiled by a Supercomputer, with the help of Plejmo, which has simulated the league season based on the released fixture list and what we learned from the opening six weekends. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the predicted winners and losers of the 2025-26 Premier League season.
Relegation Zone
A worrying trend at the foot of the table is tipped to finally come to an end this season. In both 2023/24 and 2024/25, all three promoted sides went straight back down. But if the Supercomputer’s latest projections are correct, Leeds United and Sunderland will survive this time around after the latter finds themselves in fifth after six matches.
This does mean, however, that Burnley are tipped to go down in 19th. West Ham are projected to continue to suffer after Graham Potter’s sacking has called upon the services of Nuno Espirito Santo, and they are expected to gain only 39 points across 38 games to see them go down in 18th. The Supercomputer also believes Wolves – the only side still looking for their first victory after six games – will also be unable to reverse early damage, shipping 81 goals to find themselves rock bottom.
Remarkably, the Supercomputer predicts that just 10 points will separate the Old Gold in 20th from Manchester United in 15th, setting up a relegation battle that could stretch the full 12 rounds and still be decided in the dying minutes of the final day. The Red Devils appear to be grappling with a continuation of the issues that plagued them last term under Ruben Amorim, and a repeat of last season’s finishing position seems far from impossible, as their new signings have made little impact so far.
Position
Club
Points
15.
Manchester United
43
16.
Sunderland
41
17.
Brentford
41
18.
West Ham
39
19.
Burnley
33
20.
Wolves
33
Bottom Half
Everton were tipped by many fans as potential dark horses for the 2025/26 campaign. With fresh American ownership, a new stadium, and exciting attacking reinforcements like Jack Grealish arriving over the summer, manager David Moyes seemed well-equipped to start building something special at Bramley-Moore Docks.
If the Supercomputer’s prediction of a 12th-place finish proves accurate, it surely wouldn’t sit well at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. Losses to Liverpool and Leeds are their only shortcomings so far this campaign, and even then, it was felt both of those results were undeserved.

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Nottingham Forest now seem set to face the consequences of parting ways with Nuno Espírito Santo. Under Ange Postecoglou’s erratic management, the team has suffered four defeats in as many games across all competitions, including a 3-2 loss to Championship side Swansea City in the League Cup after leading 2-0. When it rains, it pours, and an 11th-place finish would be unacceptable for a team that earned Europa League qualification just 12 months ago with largely the same squad.
Meanwhile, the aforementioned Leeds United have been tipped to finish 13th, while Fulham’s projected 14th-place finish would see them fall three places lower than their position from the 2024/25 season. The Cottagers continue to struggle to break through the glass ceiling and fully realise their potential, unlike other clubs around them that have managed to do so.
Position
Club
Points
11.
Nottingham Forest
47
12.
Everton
45
13.
Leeds United
44
14.
Fulham
44
Top Half
Brighton & Hove Albion are forecast to slip two places to 10th as the Premier League grows more competitive. A positive transfer window – headlined by Maxim De Cuyper and Charalampos Kostoulas – should give young manager Fabian Hurzeler enough to keep the Seagulls inside the race for European spots, even if their early form had been somewhat shaky. A late collapse saw them draw 1-1 with Fulham, followed by a 2-0 defeat to Everton, but their spirited comeback win over Manchester City in gameweek three quickly restored belief.
What may sting more is being tipped to finish below rivals Crystal Palace. The Eagles held firm to keep captain Marc Guehi despite Liverpool’s interest, and under Oliver Glasner’s guidance – with an FA Cup and Community Shield already in the bank – they are projected to use their unbeaten run, which they extended with another win over the champions in gameweek six to help them finish fifth – which could be enough for a place in next year’s Champions League. It would mark progress for a side that has seemed wedded to 12th place, landing there in two of the last three campaigns.

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Considering Aston Villa have only managed to win once after six Premier League games this season, they would be thrilled with a ninth-placed finish right now. PSR issues have stunted the Unai Emery project, but a 3-1 win over Fulham should hopefully get them firing again as Ollie Watkins finally broke his duck.
Even with Alexander Isak sealing a record transfer to Liverpool, Newcastle United are still expected to finish eighth. Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade and Yoane Wissa are set to step up, hoping to fill the big Swede’s sizeable boots. A combination of decent home form, a rock-solid defence, and a manager who knows English football better than the back of his hand should be enough for them to stay strong, even in the face of last gasp defeats to Liverpool and Arsenal.
After a 17th-place finish last year, Tottenham fans would be enamoured by a sixth-place finish this season, with new signing Mohammed Kudus already making an impact, providing two assists in a 4-0 win over Burnley, before Joao Palhinha was the star of the show in their second outing, which saw Frank’s new side claim a 2-0 win over Manchester City.
Frank’s side’s first loss came against none other than Bournemouth, who impressed under boss Andoni Iraola last season, narrowly missing out on European football with a ninth-place finish. This time around, the Supercomputer has them surprising everyone to move up into seventh and qualify for the Europa Conference League.

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Position
Club
Points
5.
Crystal Palace
64
6.
Tottenham
62
7.
Bournemouth
58
8.
Newcastle United
55
9.
Aston Villa
54
10.
Brighton & Hove Albion
47
Top Four
Chelsea, having entered the season with a fanbase that is more optimistic than anyone else based on a recent survey, are forecast to fourth under Todd Boehly’s sunny-go-lucky regime, also qualifying for Champions League football once again, but still finishing 20 and 26 points adrift of second and first, while only above fifth on goal difference, pointing towards another nervy finish in their pursuit of the top four.
Meanwhile, Manchester City, who are currently going through a transition period, are tipped to finish third once again, with their form being on a bit of a rise in recent weeks, which has coincided with Erling Haaland’s goalscoring purple patch that has seen him score three goals against ‘Big Six’ clubs over the two weeks before then notching three goal involvements during the 5-1 home win over Burnley.
Despite their astronomical spending, which has seen them break the British transfer fee record twice in one summer by bringing in both Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak, while also welcoming Jeremie Frimpong, Milos Kerkez, Giovanni Leoni, and Hugo Ekitike to Anfield, Liverpool are expected to miss out on retaining their title by a fairly sizeable gap of six points to serial runners-up Arsenal.

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A fourth successive runners-up medal could prove costly for Mikel Arteta, especially if the Gunners fell short with Sweden sharpshooter Viktor Gyokeres spearheading his attack and Eberechi Eze added to the attacking midfield/ winger department just for good measure. But after conceding just three times in their opening six games – albeit all three goals coming against the run of play – the Gunners are expected to finally end a hoodoo of over two decades.

Patience has been a virtue in the Arteta project, and winning the title – as current projections suggest – would remove any lingering doubt about the Spaniard’s ability to get his side over the finishing line. For some teams, all it takes is one triumph to spark a domino effect of silverware. If Arsenal lift the Premier League trophy this season, it could spell bad news for the rest of the country in the years ahead.
Position
Club
Points
1.
Arsenal
90
2.
Liverpool
84
3.
Manchester City
66
4.
Chelsea
64
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